If those eligible to vote could choose their chancellor directly, Söder would receive 41 percent of the vote, according to a Forsa poll for the “Trend Barometer” by RTL and n-tv. Against Söder, Olaf Scholz as the SPD candidate would have 14 percent, and Robert Habeck as the Greens candidate 20 percent.
Prime Minister Armin Laschet (CDU) in a three-way battle for the Chancellery would come to 16 percent, 25 percentage points less than Söder. Habeck would continue to be chosen by 20 percent, Scholz would score five percentage points better with a competitor Laschet with 19 percent than against Söder. If the CDU / CSU Laschet were chancellor candidates against Habeck and Scholz, according to the RTL / ntv trend barometer, 45 percent of those eligible to vote would not be able to choose any of the three. In the alternative Söder-Habeck-Scholz, only 25 percent would not vote for any of the candidates.
Söder would also do much better than Laschet among the supporters of the Union. Of the CDU supporters, 72 percent would choose Söder, but only 30 percent Laschet. Of the CSU supporters, 87 percent would choose Söder and 29 percent Laschet. The data on the alternatives Laschet-Scholz-Habeck were collected by Forsa on behalf of the RTL media group from July 27 to 31, 2020.
Database: 2.504 respondents. Chancellor preferences for Alternative Söder-Scholz-Habeck were collected from July 20-24, 2020.